22nd August 2016

Risk analysts continue to struggle with the business implications of Brexit. Given that the outlook will remain hazy over the near future, how should company strategists try to assess the risks today? A good starting point would be to consider several possible scenarios. In this article, the FT has helpfully provided four: a hostile divorce, a clean break, an amicable transition or a change of heart.

It’s a simple but effective framework that could assist executives in developing a strategic view on such areas as international expansion plans, hiring EU expats or just resourcing the compliance department. Bear in mind that the probability of each scenario will shift as EU negotiations evolve.

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